The jobs data is a crucial indicator of Federal Reserve policy because of the discourse used by policymakers to counter predictions of a softening rate hike market. The president of the Cleveland Federal Reserve, Loretta Mester underlined the dedication of the central bank to dealing with inflation and curbing the current struggles. Although short-term Treasury yields increased, the US dollar remained unchanged.
The British Pound declined versus key currencies as a result of the Bank of England’s policy decision. A recession is predicted to start in Q4 and last until 2023 by the central bank. The economic prognosis for the United Kingdom is clouded by this and a greater inflation projection.
Although the BoE raised interest rates by 50 basis points, the value of the GBP decreased by over 0.5% against the Euro. That came as a bit of a surprise considering that the cost of energy is under pressure throughout Europe, which is more than in the United Kingdom.
After increasing by more than 1.5% in a 24-hour period, gold prices increased and reached their highest point since July 5. Bullion was supported by the declining US dollar despite rising US Treasury rates. A closing of 3.48% characterized the VanEck gold miners ETF, making it the biggest daily gain in three months.
Following Chinese missile attacks near Taiwanese waters, Bitcoin (BTC) plummeted, reviving geopolitical dangers associated with the presence of the US House Speaker. Even if a direct military war is improbable at the moment, the strikes show that China and Taiwan are becoming more antagonistic.
A robust Australian Dollar reaction could result from the Reserve Bank of Australia’s Announcement on Monetary Policy. In order to predict future policy measures, traders will evaluate the economic analysis and inflation prediction reports. When the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) raised its rate by 50 basis points at the beginning of the week, Governor Philip Lowe surprised many by being less hawkish than anticipated. Policy hawks were dissatisfied with Lowe’s remarks, and the AUD was penalized. The market thinks that the RBA is falling short of curbing inflation as compared to the rest of the world. If the report of Friday tempers rate hike bets further, this puts the price of AUD in jeopardy.
Should the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announce a rate hike underneath the anticipated 35 basis point increase, the Indian Rupee may reach a new low against the greenback. The performance of the services index returned to growth last month according to Australia’s Ai Group Services Index (Australian PSI), which is a promising indicator for economic growth. It increased from 48.8 in June to 51.7 in July.
Following the second day of advances, AUD/USD is currently trading over the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), improving the position of the currency. A revisit of the wedge goal at 0.7036 might be likely if prices remain over the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). As an option, reverting to the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is an additional result.
